ECONOMISTS’ VIEWS: HOW HIGH WILL INFLATION RISE?

first_img Tags: NULL Share ECONOMISTS’ VIEWS: HOW HIGH WILL INFLATION RISE? KCS-content whatsapp Sunday 16 January 2011 10:08 pmcenter_img PHILIP SHAW | INVESTEC“There is a worrying inflation outlook in the UK. Our forecast is looking for a rise to 3.5 per cent for December, and it seems likely that inflation will exceed the four per cent level later this year.”HOWARD ARCHER | IHS GLOBAL INSIGHT“The data is expected to showthat annual consumer price inflation climbed to a seven-month high of 3.4 per cent in December. However, inflation will hopefully dip below two per cent early in 2012.”GEOFFREY WOOD | CASS BUSINESS SCHOOL“Inflation will certainly be up, manifestly. It would not surprise me at all to see it hit four per cent before long. It has been well above the target rate for some time, and unlike the MPC I don’t see it coming down.” by Taboolaby TaboolaSponsored LinksSponsored LinksPromoted LinksPromoted LinksYou May LikeMisterStoryWoman Files For Divorce After Seeing This Photo – Can You See Why?MisterStoryMoneyPailShe Was Famous, Now She Works In {State}MoneyPailBetterBe20 Stunning Female AthletesBetterBeTaco RelishOnly People With An IQ Of 130 Can Name These ItemsTaco Relishautooverload.comDeclassified Vietnam War Photos The Public Wasn’t Meant To Seeautooverload.comZen HeraldThe Truth About Why ’40s Actor John Wayne Didn’t Serve In WWII Has Come To LightZen HeraldNews SharperGrab A Tissue Before You See Richard Simmons At 72News SharperDefinitionDesi Arnaz Kept This Hidden Throughout The Filming of ‘I Love Lucy’DefinitionAlphaCuteBizarre Hells Angels Rules, #10 Is MandatoryAlphaCute Show Comments ▼ Read This NextRicky Schroder Calls Foo Fighters’ Dave Grohl ‘Ignorant Punk’ forThe WrapCNN’s Brian Stelter Draws Criticism for Asking Jen Psaki: ‘What Does theThe WrapDid Donald Trump Wear His Pants Backwards? Kriss Kross Memes Have AlreadyThe WrapPink Floyd’s Roger Waters Denies Zuckerberg’s Request to Use Song in Ad:The Wrap’Sex and the City’ Sequel Series at HBO Max Adds 4 More ReturningThe WrapHarvey Weinstein to Be Extradited to California to Face Sexual AssaultThe WrapThe Truth About Bottled Water – Get the Facts on Drinking Bottled WaterGayot’The View’: Meghan McCain Calls VP Kamala Harris a ‘Moron’ for BorderThe Wrap’Black Widow’ First Reactions: ‘This Is Like the MCU’s Bond Movie’The Wrap whatsapplast_img read more

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Bank’s chief hawk says businesses will grow Britain out of recession

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No InstallTaonga: The Island Farm Bank’s chief hawk says businesses will grow Britain out of recession Tuesday 1 February 2011 8:40 pm Tags: NULL Share whatsapp FOR seven months Andrew Sentance stood alone, the only Bank of England rate-setter brave enough to call out for a gradual rise in rates.Yet in January he was finally joined by one of his eight colleagues, Martin Weale, in his appeal for a gradual tightening in the central bank’s rates.“I don’t want to comment on the views of individual members,” he told us yesterday from his majestic Bank of England office overlooking the Royal Exchange, “but as a general observation, the last two sets of minutes have reflected a growing concern about inflationary pressures.”Last week the pair’s stance faced scrutiny when preliminary figures signalled a major setback for the economy at the end of 2010. Some said this proved monetary policy should remain ultra-accomodative.But Sentance remains unfazed.“They did put a health warning around the data, I think people should pay attention to this,” he said, referring to the incomplete nature of the Office for National Statistics’ provisional figures. “And one thing we can pretty clearly say about the fourth quarter data is that it’s heavily snow affected. And we need to be prepared to look through fluctuations in GDP growth when we’re recovering from recessions; growth figures are never linear and smooth in recoveries,” he added.Whether or not Sentance can convince more of the monetary policy committee (MPC) to vote for a rate rise this month, his one man inflation-fighting campaign comes to an end in May, at least from within the Bank’s hallowed halls. The former Confederation of British Industry (CBI) economist is departing the MPC, which he first joined in October 2006 (he marked his entrance back then with an instant call for an interest rate rise; once a hawk, always a hawk). Sentance would prefer his successor, like him, to have a background in business. “I’ve certainly drawn on my business experience in fulfilling my role,” he said, referring to his time at British Airways. “That’s very important for the MPC, to have input that can directly draw on business – I’ve found it particularly helpful. After all, the processes that we’re discussing are very much about how businesses operate in the real world.”And Sentance echoed the calls of business groups for the government to do more to allow private sector growth.“At a time when we’re looking for the private sector to pull the economy forward, it’s important for government policy to be seeking to reinforce that,” he said, citing the CBI’s call for a positive growth strategy from the coalition government.Emphasising the need to combat inflation, Sentance empathised with the effects on businesses and everyday consumers. “Those are the communities who suffer from high inflation,” he said. The consensus against inflation is still very much alive in the commercial world, he insisted. “I don’t see there’s any lack of concern [about inflation] because we’ve seen a lot of media stories about it.”“The things that have really disrupted the UK economy in the past have been letting that inflation genie get out of the bottle, and if expectations do rise and people do start to expect higher inflation, it is a hard and painful job of reasserting stability,” he warned.The Bank enjoys a “hard won stock of credibility” from years of keeping inflation low and on target, Sentance said, while stressing that it must not squander this reputation by allowing inflation to threaten the economy again.“I’m concerned from my time on the MPC that we make sure that we are keeping that stock of credibility topped up by acting consistently with our target. I think the longer the situation goes on where we’re not prepared to take any monetary policy action against rising inflation, the bigger the threat to credibility becomes,” he said. “Over a period of time if the MPC appears not to act when there are things it could do to at least moderate the inflationary pressures then that [loss of credibility] is a risk.”“The fact is that measures of inflation expectations have moved upwards, the direction of travel of these measures is pretty clear and that’s something the MPC should look at very carefully, and be concerned about,” he said.And the Bank must bear in mind the strength of the global recovery, Sentance warned. “We’re a very international economy, a lot of our inflationary processes are also influenced by the international economy so we need to take that into account in setting UK interest rates.” “What is happening is we’re having these external and cost pressures on inflation but the demand climate for the UK is allowing them to come through to the consumer, and I think the worry is the beginning of a change in the pricing climate that we’ve seen in the UK, away from a pricing climate based on low and stable inflation.”“All the big shocks that the MPC has had to deal with in its life have been driven by the international economy,” he said, listing the Asian crisis and bursting of the dotcom bubble as two examples. “We should be reflecting on that experience, and taking the current external factors seriously.”But what of claims that inflation is merely caused by temporary and external effects – commodity prices, the rise in VAT? Sentance is unconvinced.“I don’t think you can compartmentalise inflation in that way,” he responded. “In the current climate we’ve seen the demand situation in the UK economy has improved very considerably. The growth of nominal demand is almost the strongest that we’ve seen even if we compare to the 1990s and 2000s before the crisis.”Nominal domestic demand – spending by UK consumers, businesses and government, in total money terms – was up 6.8 per cent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2010, Sentance said.“One of the indicators that worries me most is the price expectations measure in the CBI’s industrial trends survey, which jumped between October and January – the biggest jump they’ve seen in that survey since the late 1960s.”And Sentance rejects the claim that spending cuts will halt the recovery, citing the fiscal consolidation of the 1990s as a precedent. “There was a big fall in government spending as a percentage of GDP and there were some selective tax rises as we’re now seeing – and the economy grew through that period,” he said. Sentance remains as willing as ever to put his neck on the line: “I still believe the time to have started raising rates was the middle of last year.” His colleagues on the MPC didn’t agree, but it seems inevitable they will be forced to raise rates at some point this year. Let us hope this won’t turn out to be a case of closing the stable doors after the horses have bolted.CV | ANDREW SENTANCEAge: 51Work: Former senior economist at the Confederation of British Industry (CBI). At London Business School, became director of the centre for economic forecasting. In 1998 joined British Airways, where he became chief economist and head of environmental affairs.Education: Educated at Eltham College; Clare College, Cambridge University; and the London School of Economics, where he gained his PhD. He holds a visiting professorship at Royal Holloway, University of London and is a Fellow and former chairman of the Society of Business Economists. Family: Married, two children. 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Illovo Sugar Limited HY2015 Interim Report

first_imgIllovo Sugar Limited (ILLOVO.mw) listed on the Malawi Stock Exchange under the Food sector has released it’s 2015 interim results for the half year.For more information about Illovo Sugar Limited (ILLOVO.mw) reports, abridged reports, interim earnings results and earnings presentations, visit the Illovo Sugar Limited (ILLOVO.mw) company page on AfricanFinancials.Document: Illovo Sugar Limited (ILLOVO.mw)  2015 interim results for the half year.Company ProfileIllovo Sugar Limited is a South African-based enterprise and Africa’s largest producer of raw sugar and sugar brands produced from sugar cane grown by its own agricultural operations and independent growers. It operates in six African countries and exports products to sub-Saharan Africa, the European Union and the United States. Illovo Sugar Malawi is based in Limbe in the Blantyre District. Illovo Sugar Limited operates in four segments; cane growing, sugar production, downstream and co-generation products. The Cane Growing division grows sugar cane which is used in the production of sugar productions. The Sugar Production division manufactures and markets Illovo Sugar brands. The Downstream and Co-generation division manufactures and markets brands that are by-products of the production process, including furfural and alcohol. Illovo Sugar Limited also supplies surplus electricity generated in the sugar production process. Illovo Sugar Limited is a subsidiary of Associated British Foods plc. Illovo Sugar Limited is listed on the Malawi Stock Exchangelast_img read more

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Effective Fundraising: An Informal Guide (DSC/CAF Starter Guide)

first_img  23 total views,  1 views today AddThis Sharing ButtonsShare to TwitterTwitterShare to FacebookFacebookShare to LinkedInLinkedInShare to EmailEmailShare to WhatsAppWhatsAppShare to MessengerMessengerShare to MoreAddThis Howard Lake | 26 October 2007 | News About Howard Lake Howard Lake is a digital fundraising entrepreneur. Publisher of UK Fundraising, the world’s first web resource for professional fundraisers, since 1994. Trainer and consultant in digital fundraising. Founder of Fundraising Camp and co-founder of GoodJobs.org.uk. Researching massive growth in giving. Effective Fundraising: An Informal Guide (DSC/CAF Starter Guide) AddThis Sharing ButtonsShare to TwitterTwitterShare to FacebookFacebookShare to LinkedInLinkedInShare to EmailEmailShare to WhatsAppWhatsAppShare to MessengerMessengerShare to MoreAddThislast_img read more

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Rep. Chu Votes to Approve Iran Nuclear Deal

first_img 0 commentsShareShareTweetSharePin it More Cool Stuff Community News Name (required)  Mail (required) (not be published)  Website  Subscribe faithfernandez More » ShareTweetShare on Google+Pin on PinterestSend with WhatsApp,Virtual Schools PasadenaHomes Solve Community/Gov/Pub SafetyPasadena Public WorksPasadena Water and PowerPASADENA EVENTS & ACTIVITIES CALENDARClick here for Movie Showtimes Home of the Week: Unique Pasadena Home Located on Madeline Drive, Pasadena Get our daily Pasadena newspaper in your email box. Free.Get all the latest Pasadena news, more than 10 fresh stories daily, 7 days a week at 7 a.m. Pasadena’s ‘626 Day’ Aims to Celebrate City, Boost Local Economy Community News Top of the News center_img Herbeauty6 Lies You Should Stop Telling Yourself Right NowHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeautyInstall These Measures To Keep Your Household Safe From Covid19HerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeauty5 Things To Avoid If You Want To Have Whiter TeethHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeautyCostume That Makes Actresses Beneath Practically UnrecognizableHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeauty6 Strong Female TV Characters Who Deserve To Have A SpinoffHerbeautyHerbeautyHerbeautyWeird Types Of Massage Not Everyone Dares To TryHerbeautyHerbeauty Pasadena Will Allow Vaccinated People to Go Without Masks in Most Settings Starting on Tuesday EVENTS & ENTERTAINMENT | FOOD & DRINK | THE ARTS | REAL ESTATE | HOME & GARDEN | WELLNESS | SOCIAL SCENE | GETAWAYS | PARENTS & KIDS First Heatwave Expected Next Week Make a comment Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked * Business News Government Rep. Chu Votes to Approve Iran Nuclear Deal Published on Friday, September 11, 2015 | 11:39 am Today, Rep. Judy Chu (CA-27) voted to approve the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action negotiated between the U.S., Germany, Britain, France, Russia, and China and Iran to lift sanctions on Iran in exchange for curbs to their nuclear program. Before the vote, Rep. Chu spoke on the floor in support of the agreement. Her remarks are below:“I rise today to support the Iran deal, the most important step that we could take to secure the future of this planet by stopping Iran’s nuclear program for 15 years.“A nuclear Iran is an unacceptable danger. Iran’s support of terror and aggression throughout the world, it’s stated threats to Israel, and the nuclear arms race they would trigger are the reasons the world’s major powers came together to put crushing sanctions on Iran in the first place.“Currently, Iran can produce enough material for a nuclear weapon in 2-3 months. Under this deal, Iran must take several unprecedented steps that would prevent them from having a nuclear weapon for 15 years. This deal goes further than any agreement in history by including inspections of Iran’s entire uranium enrichment supply chain for up to 25 years. Additionally, Iran will be subject to inspections under the Additional Protocol forever.“It is those crushing economic sanctions that brought Iran to the table to finally accept the nuclear deal. What is critical to remember is that our terrorism sanctions still remain in place and, if a military strike is necessary, the U.S. will have the time and intelligence to intervene, but without the threat of a nuclear bomb for 15 years. In contrast, without this deal, sanctions will be lifted anyway, and we will be left with nothing but fear, uncertainty, and an unfettered Iran.“Considering the anxiety of recent years, when the prospect of a military strike on Iran felt imminent, this deal is a welcome alternative. And, the risks of rejecting it are too great. For the sake of our security, the security of our allies and our position as a trustworthy global leader, I urge my colleagues to support the deal.”last_img read more

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When A Prime Minister Was Put On Trial : Excerpt From Prashant Bhushan’s Book ‘The Case That Shook India’

ColumnsWhen A Prime Minister Was Put On Trial : Excerpt From Prashant Bhushan’s Book ‘The Case That Shook India’ Prashant Bhushan31 Aug 2020 5:35 AMShare This – xThe judge arrived two minutes before 10 a.m. Everybody in the courtroom rose when the judge came in. After taking his seat, he announced that the court conventions dictate that no one should rise when a witness comes in. This however did not prevent some people from rising when Mrs Gandhi came in. Mrs Gandhi took a seat which was specially provided for her. The normal practice is that…Your free access to Live Law has expiredTo read the article, get a premium account.Your Subscription Supports Independent JournalismSubscription starts from ₹ 599+GST (For 6 Months)View PlansPremium account gives you:Unlimited access to Live Law Archives, Weekly/Monthly Digest, Exclusive Notifications, Comments.Reading experience of Ad Free Version, Petition Copies, Judgement/Order Copies.Subscribe NowAlready a subscriber?LoginThe judge arrived two minutes before 10 a.m. Everybody in the courtroom rose when the judge came in. After taking his seat, he announced that the court conventions dictate that no one should rise when a witness comes in. This however did not prevent some people from rising when Mrs Gandhi came in. Mrs Gandhi took a seat which was specially provided for her. The normal practice is that a witness stands in the witness box. The deviation from convention was made by Justice Sinha after consultation with Bhushan. Her chair was on a raised platform to the right of the judge so that she was on level with the judge. She looked composed and unruffled as she sat down. If she regarded the ordeal before her as something of great significance, she did not give the slightest indication of it. Her appearance was of one who was performing yet another routine task. Khare was called upon to lead the examination, and he was visibly excited. He was the first person to question the Prime Minister in court. The main issues which could turn on Mrs Gandhi’s evidence were (1) whether she held herself out as a candidate prior to 1 February, and (2) whether Yashpal Kapoor actually resigned on 13 January. Khare’s questions were mainly focused on these issues. (3) His examination lasted about an hour. It was now Bhushan’s turn. He was inwardly excited, though outwardly calm, when he got up to begin the task before him. It was a big event for him. Apart from the fact that he would be cross-questioning the Prime Minister, with the whole country watching at least through newspapers, he was also fully aware of the far-reaching political consequences of the outcome of this case. This cross-examination could be crucial to the outcome of the case. Most people who are not familiar with courts visualize a cross-examination as something dramatic where the counsel is supposed to give a theatrical display, Perry Mason style. Most cross-examinations are, however, incredibly dull where little happens in the nature of drama. The cross-examination had not finished when the court rose that day. That evening, all the Opposition leaders who had come from Delhi to witness the cross-examination were invited for tea to Bhushan’s house. Opinion there was almost unanimous, that Mrs Gandhi had fared well on the first day of her cross-examination. She had maintained her composure and was convincing in the manner in which she had answered the questions. Piloo Mody did not enjoy the cross-examination. ‘Why don’t you heckle her? Annoy her a bit!’ he told Bhushan. Bhushan smilingly remarked that on the first day, he had only given her the bait and made her feel confident. ‘Tomorrow she will walk into the trap,’ he said. Little did anyone know that he was indeed serious and was about to spring a surprise. Pandit Kanhaya Lal Mishra wrote to Mrs Gandhi at the end of the first day’s cross-examination, ‘I hear that today’s cross-examination has gone off very well. I am pleased about that. But that still does not alter my opinion that you should not have appeared for the crossexamination.’ His words were indeed prophetic, and later Mrs Gandhi was to regret not having followed his advice. Bhushan took only ninety minutes to complete his cross-examination the next day. The tables had indeed turned. The additional written statement containing the decision of the All India Congress Committee about her constituency had caught her off guard. Till the previous day she had been maintaining that she had taken a final decision to contest from Rae Bareli only on 1 February. Her additional written statement said that a final decision regarding her constituency was announced by the AICC on 29 January. When confronted with this statement, she said that the statement was drafted in legal language which she had difficulty in understanding. Bhushan did not give her time to recover her composure. Although he had some more questions, he decided to end at this point, not taking the chance of losing his advantage. The people at large, who were following the cross-examination, did not, however, catch on to Mrs Gandhi’s blunder till the arguments stage, when it was fully exploited by Bhushan. But the more astute observers caught on. The report of the second day’s cross-examination was headlined in some of the newspapers as: ‘Prime Minister did not know of AICC decision about her constituency’ and ‘PM cannot follow legal language.’ Mrs Gandhi was the last witness of either side to give evidence. The stage was now set for the main battle, the final arguments. The arguments were to start on 21 April. Both sides started preparing for them. Meanwhile, some of the documents, mainly the controversial Blue Book, were examined by Justice Sinha on 2 April. These were the documents on which privilege had been claimed. The Supreme Court, it will be remembered, had ruled that the judge could examine them and then either uphold or reject the privilege as he thought fit. The judge accepted the claim of privilege in respect of some documents and rejected the claim in respect of others, which were then exhibited and admitted as evidence. One further development took place before the arguments started. On 16 April, a writ petition was filed in the court by Raj Narain’s lawyers, challenging the constitutional validity of the R.P. (Amendment) Act. It was challenged mainly on the ground that it was discriminatory and thus violative of Article 14 in its retrospective effect. The stage was now set for the arguments. Raj Narain was in jail at this time because of his participation in a civil disobedience movement. This was not a novelty for him as it was his fifty-second trip to jail since Independence. He had spent more than half the post-Independence period in jails. He, however, was brought every day to Bhushan’s house in police custody, to allow him to brief his counsel on the case. Being of a religious bent of mind, he gave Bhushan a queer stone to keep in his pocket during the arguments as a good luck charm. Although Bhushan is not superstitious, the stone remained in his pocket during the entire arguments. About the book On 12 June 1975, for the first time in independent India’s history, the election of a Prime Minister was set aside by a High Court judgment. The watershed case, Indira Gandhi v. Raj Narain, acted as the catalyst for the imposition of the Emergency. Based on detailed notes of the court proceedings, The Case That Shook India is both a legal and a historical document of a case that decisively shaped India’s political destiny. The author, advocate Prashant Bhushan, sets out to reveal the goings-on inside the court as well as the manoeuvrings outside it, including threats, bribes and deceit. Providing a blow-by-blow account, he vividly recreates courtroom scenes. As the case goes to the Supreme Court, we see how a ruling government can misuse legislative power to save the PM’s election. Through his forceful and gripping narrative, Bhushan offers the reader a front-row seat to watch one of India’s most important legal dramas unfold. About the author Prashant Bhushan is an eminent public interest lawyer in the Supreme Court of India, most known for cases such as 2G and Coal Scam. He is also an activist and a founder member of Swaraj Abhiyan-a campaign organization that focuses on various issues such as the environment, human rights, corruption and good governance. He was a prominent member of the group India Against Corruption (IAC) and worked alongside Anna Hazare for the implementation of the Jan Lokpal Bill (Citizen’s Anti-corruption Ombudsman Bill).(Excerpt published with permission from Penguin Random House India’) Subscribe to LiveLaw, enjoy Ad free version and other unlimited features, just INR 599 Click here to Subscribe. All payment options available.loading….Next Story read more

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Ms. Senior America to Perform at New Mr. Mature America Pageant

first_imgThe Ms. Senior America New Jersey Pageant recently contacted Ocean City and requested to be a part of its March 22nd Mr. Mature America Pageant, the only event of its kind in the United States that will celebrate the talents and achievements of Men 60 and older. They will be represented in the program by Vanessa Shaw, Ms. New Jersey Senior America and first runner up for the national title. A talented vocalist, Ms. Shaw will perform at the new Pageant and crown the first Mr. Mature America. Shown in photo are (l-r) Ray Esterlund Asst. Executive Director of MMA, Ms. Shaw, Carol Dugan of the Ms. Senior America New Jersey Pageant and Joanne Santori, the Pageant’s Executive Director. At center is Mark Soifer, founder and Ex. Director of MMA.(By Mark Soifer, Ocean City public relations director)Yes, Ms. Senior America likes Mr. Mature America.Sound like a message on Facebook? Maybe something that should be tweeted? Or Whatevered? Well it’s a fact.We received a phone call recently from Joanne Santori. She’s the executive director of the Ms. New Jersey Senior America Pageant, whose slogan is “An Age of Elegance.” She wants her pageant to be involved with our upcoming Mr. Mature America Pageant, whose slogan is “Old Guys Rule.”She is so persuasive we could not resist the offer. She actually brought the talented vocalist and very attractive Vanessa Shaw, Ms. New Jersey Senior America 2013 and the first runner up in the national pageant, to our cluttered Public Relations Office on the second floor of City Hall. We decluttered it as best we could for this special visit.After two minutes of intense negotiations, we caved in to their request that Ms. Shaw perform at our Pageant on March 22.  Ms. Shaw is extremely qualified to do so as she has performed on Broadway opposite such luminaries as Eartha Kitt, Robert Goulet, Debbie Allen and many others in such shows as Camelot, Porgy and Bess, The King and I, etc. etc. etc.There is much more to her biography which will be featured in the Mr. Mature America Program Book, available the evening of the Pageant. Want to advertise in this first landmark book which we predict will become a valuable collector’s item in the future, the very, very distant future?  Call (609) 525-9300 and ask for the Advertising Manager. Advisory: If you place an advertisement be prepared for a huge influx of customers on the days following the Pageant.In addition to her singing performance, Ms. Shaw will crown the Pageant winner before he strides or limps down the runway.  Soprano Nancy Fox will sing a rousing, song written especially for the occasion which ends with the advice to “Cheer Loud! Cheer Loud and Lustily/ His Hearing Ain’t What It Used to Be!” The complete lyrics to this original anthem will be printed in the collector’s item, extremely informative program book destined to be very, very valuable some day.For information on the nation’s first pageant for men 60 years and older, call (609) 525-9300. Admission is $10 with all proceeds after expenses benefitting the Ocean City Ecumenical Council Community Food Cupboard and the Philippine Relief Fund.last_img read more

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Ocean City Halloween Parade Treats Crowds to Some Spooky Fun

first_imgCostumed dancers head down Asbury Avenue in the Ocean City Halloween parade. By Donald WittkowskiShortly before 7 p.m., the rain-swept streets in downtown Ocean City were ghostly quiet.Then, about 15 minutes later, things came alive. The ghosts showed up. And the ghouls. And the goblins. And all sorts of other spooky creatures.Some frightful weather didn’t scare away the crowds Thursday night as the 69th edition of the city’s Halloween parade made its way down Asbury Avenue to the delight of hundreds of costumed children.Intermittent rain forced spectators to take cover under storefront awnings after the parade began at 7:15 p.m., but that didn’t stop the children from having a monstrously good time.From left, Caitlynne Siniscalchi and her 3-year-old son, Jace, and Nicole Hyde and her 11-year-old son, Jack, took cover from the rain under a storefront awning. They all live in Egg Harbor Township.Jace Siniscalchi, 3, dressed up as the Marvel Comics superhero Spider-Man for the parade.“My costume is Spider-Man,” Jace announced with a smile. Then he held up his hands to show how he would spin his web.“This is his first parade ever. It’s just magical,” said Jace’s mother, Caitlynne Siniscalchi, of Egg Harbor Township.Charlotte Mae Bogie, another 3-year-old, had her face and hands painted green and her hair dyed orange for her wicked witch costume.“She’s really excited for the trick-or-treating,” said Brandi Bogie, Charlotte Mae’s mother. “She likes to dress up.”Bogie, who lives in Fort Irwin, Calif., brought Charlotte Mae to Ocean City to visit with her grandmother. The parade was expected to be a highlight of their trip.OCPD’s youngest officers were on the scene to keep everyone safe.Dating to 1947, Ocean City’s Halloween parade is one of the oldest in the tri-state area. City spokesman Doug Bergen said the parade reflects the resort town’s family-friendly reputation.“It is certainly a family holiday, and a parade fits in with our image as America’s Greatest Family Resort,” Bergen said, referring to the city’s tourism slogan.Not to be outdone, the OCFD sent one of their best units to watch over the parade.A procession of colorful floats, marching bands and groups of dancers followed behind an escort of police cars, fire trucks and ambulances that flashed their lights and blared their sirens. The parade crawled down Asbury Avenue between Sixth and 11th streets.Colorful floats decked out in Halloween themes were among the parade highlights.Some displays consisted of parents pulling their costumed children down the street in Halloween-themed toy wagons. One little boy dressed as Count Dracula waved to the crowds from inside a tiny coffin.Owen Bowker, 2, played Thomas the Tank Engine, the small fictional steam locomotive from The Railway Series books. His father, Frank Bowker, of Upper Township, created a miniature Thomas the Tank Engine float that featured an Ocean City theme.Not all of the Halloween marchers were children. About 25 women from the Colony Club of Ocean City paraded down the street in costumes donated by fellow member Mary Rogers. They dedicated their march to Rogers, who could not be with them for the parade, said club member Jane Snyder, of Ocean City.The Colony Club showed everyone how to have some fun.The Colony Club is an organization that raises money for scholarships and local charities. Snyder explained that the club members have been dressing up for the Halloween parade in the last three years. Snyder was costumed Thursday night as Glinda the Good Witch, from the Wizard of Oz.“It’s a fun thing to do,” Snyder said. “It’s good for our organization. It gets everybody together.”The rain did not bother Martin and Howie. They were shaking it Ocean City stylelast_img read more

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Dangerous swimming conditions Friday and Saturday in Lake Michigan

first_imgIndianaLocalMichiganNewsSouth Bend Market Pinterest Google+ Google+ Facebook Dangerous swimming conditions Friday and Saturday in Lake Michigan Pinterest Twitter (NOAA) Weather officials remind potential beach goers that a major shift in the wind on Friday has elevated swimming in Lake Michigan to “dangerous” status.Beaches from Indiana up to Muskegon and beyond will experience dangerous waves and currents due to the conditions, which will last well into Saturday.The north side of piers are especially hazardous, and the record-high water levels and winds will push water over the tops of piers. Facebook WhatsApp Previous articleMichigan City man arrested after attempting three sexual assaults in one nightNext articleWhitmer signs tougher public mask executive order Tommie Lee WhatsApp By Tommie Lee – July 10, 2020 0 453 Twitterlast_img read more

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A story that doesn’t hold up

first_imgIt’s one of the most common plot twists in Hollywood — caught red-handed, the murderer claims to suffer from multiple personality disorder, says he has no memory of the crime, and points the finger at an alternate personality.A new study, however, suggests such a scenario belongs strictly to the realm of fiction.The study — conducted by Harvard’s Richard J. McNally, Rafaele Huntjens of the University of Groningen, and Bruno Verschuere of the University of Amsterdam — casts doubt on the “amnesia barrier” that has long been a hallmark of what is now called dissociative identity disorder (DID) by demonstrating that patients do have knowledge of their other identities. Huntjens was lead author of the study, which was reported in a paper published in PLoS One on July 17.“Ultimately, this disorder is a way of expressing distress,” said McNally, a professor in the Department of Psychology. “What we have shown is that a fundamental idea behind the concept of DID — that there is amnesia between identities — there’s no convincing evidence for that.”About a century ago, Morton Prince, a Harvard-educated neurologist working in the Boston area, coined the phrase “multiple personality disorder” to describe the case of Sally Beauchamp, an Arlington woman who appeared to have two personalities.Reports of DID, which is sometimes confused with schizophrenia, were rare in the 20th century, with only a few dozen cases appearing in the literature. With the publication of “Sybil” (1973), however, the condition entered the mainstream. The story of Sybil Dorsett, a woman who claimed to have as many as a dozen personalities, became an international sensation. There were two film adaptations.Diagnoses of DID rose sharply through the next two decades. In addition to raising the public profile of the disorder, the book also marked the first suggestion that alternate personalities were created as a way to wall off traumatic memories of physical or sexual abuse, and that those memories could be recovered with the help of a therapist.“The idea at the time was that the mind locks these memories away, but with the help of a therapist, and through hypnosis or the use of drugs like Sodium Pentothal, these memories could become accessible,” McNally said.To understand whether there truly is an “amnesia barrier” between a DID patient’s identities, McNally and colleagues conceived a unique experiment.Where earlier studies had simply asked questions, with no way to be sure the answers were truthful, the test described by McNally was intentionally designed to “fool” patients, making fakery nearly impossible.Called a “concealed information task,” the test’s goal is ostensibly simple: identify words as they flash on a computer screen. If one of a small set of randomly selected “target” words appears, press yes. For all other words, press no. The catch, McNally said, is that while many of the words hold no meaning for the patients, a small subset of the non-target words are taken from two autobiographical questionnaires patients fill out at the start of the test — one while inhabiting one personality, the second in another.When one of those personally relevant words — such as a best friend’s name, favorite food, or favorite sport — appears on screen, McNally said, most patients’ first impulse is to press the yes button. Within moments, however, they realize the word doesn’t appear on the target list, and they eventually give the “correct” answer by pressing no.It’s that “processing lag” — measured in milliseconds — that demonstrates patients “know” a word is personally relevant, McNally said. If the amnesia between identities were real, that lag — the time it takes to recognize a word, realize it is not on the target list, and press the correct button — should all but disappear.The results showed just the opposite.As expected, the lag appeared for words that were relevant to the personality taking the test. All participants showed a nearly identical lag for words that were relevant to their alternate personalities, McNally said, suggesting that the information wasn’t locked away in a separate identity.“For DID patients, the increase in reaction time was noticeable,” McNally said. “This shows that this information is leaking across the so-called amnesic barrier. The issue here is whether one identity is genuinely amnesic for information that is supposedly only accessible to the other identity, and the answer appears to be no.”McNally said that those who claim to be suffering from the disorder may be reacting more to cultural expectations than psychological realities.“For people who suffer from it, this disorder is ultimately a way to express distress,” McNally said. ????Cultures provide certain envelopes for people to express suffering or psychological pain and DID is one such cultural trope. In the 19th century, women would do that by getting the ‘vapors’ and swooning — you don’t see that anymore. Quite frankly, I don’t think much would be lost if the diagnosis were eliminated from the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual — people will simply begin expressing their suffering in different ways that are more tractable to treatment.”last_img read more

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